{"id":52292,"date":"2023-12-22T16:48:20","date_gmt":"2023-12-22T08:48:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/?p=52292"},"modified":"2024-01-02T10:56:53","modified_gmt":"2024-01-02T02:56:53","slug":"what-is-santa-claus-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/zh\/what-is-santa-claus-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6295\u8d44\u7f8e\u80a1\u5fc5\u770b\uff01\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\uff08Santa Claus Rally\uff09\uff1f\u5bf9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u8981\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>2023\u5e74\u9a6c\u4e0a\u5c31\u8981\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\uff0c\u662f\u65f6\u5019\u5ba1\u89c6\u3001\u8c03\u6574\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff08Portfolio\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u591a\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5f88\u591a\u534e\u4eba\u5374\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u6295\u8d44\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u7edd\u4f73\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u80a1\u4e00\u76f4\u6709\u4e2a\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\uff08Santa Claus Rally\uff09\u7684\u4e60\u4fd7\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u6bb5\u671f\u95f4\u80a1\u7968\u666e\u904d\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u4e9b\u8d44\u6df1\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u5229\u7528\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u6765\u9884\u6d4b\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u662f\u725b\u5e02\u6216\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5c3d\u5feb\u4f5c\u51fa\u90e8\u7f72\uff0c\u8d81\u4f4e\u8fdb\u573a\uff0c\u6765\u5e74\u5927\u8d5a\u4e00\u7b14\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e3a\u4f60\u89e3\u91ca\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5bf9\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-rank-math-toc-block\" id=\"rank-math-toc\"><h2>\u76ee\u5f55<\/h2><nav><ul><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-santa-claus-rally-\uff1f\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally \uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-santa-claus-rally-\uff1f\">\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally \uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-santa-claus-rally-\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5bf9\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u8981\uff1f\">\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally \u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5bf9\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u8981\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#2023-\u5e74\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6709\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u5417\uff1f\">2023\u5e74\u8fd8\u4f1a\u6709\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u5417\uff1f<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#\u603b\u7ed3\">\u603b\u7ed3<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#\u5ef6\u4f38\u9605\u8bfb\">\u5ef6\u4f38\u9605\u8bfb<\/a><\/li><li class=\"\"><a href=\"#\u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e\">\u514d\u8d23\u58f0\u660e<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-santa-claus-rally-\uff1f\"><strong>\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally \uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1708\" src=\"https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-scaled.webp\" alt=\"\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally\" class=\"wp-image-52294\" style=\"width:500px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-scaled.webp 2560w, https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-300x200.webp 300w, https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-1024x683.webp 1024w, https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-768x512.webp 768w, https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-1536x1025.webp 1536w, https:\/\/valueinmind.co\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-2048x1366.webp 2048w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\uff0c\u82f1\u6587\u662f Santa Claus Rally\uff0c\u6307\u7684\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u80a1\u5e02\u5728\u6bcf\u5e74\u7684\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u524d\u540e\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>12\u6708\u7684\u6700\u540e5\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e741\u6708\u7684\u524d2\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\uff08S&amp;P 500 Index\uff09\u51fa\u73b0\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u73b0\u8c61\u57281972\u5e74\u88ab\u8036\u9c81\u00b7\u8d6b\u5e0c\uff08Yale Hirsch\uff09\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5e76\u8bb0\u5f55\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u300aStock Trader&#8217;s  Almanac\u300b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2023\u5e74\u7684\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u5c31\u4ece2023\u5e7412\u670822\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c2024\u5e741\u67083\u65e5\u7ed3\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-santa-claus-rally-\uff1f\"><strong>\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally \uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5173\u4e8e\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u7684\u6210\u56e0\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u786e\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u5927\u81f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f52\u7eb3\u4e3a\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u4e2a\u7406\u7531\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>1. \u7531\u4e8e\u673a\u6784\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5728\u5723\u8bde\u540e\u4e00\u5468\u4f11\u606f\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u5f80\u5f80\u8f83\u4f4e\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u66f4\u53d7\u5f80\u5f80\u770b\u6da8\u7684\u6563\u6237\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2. \u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e38\u5728\u4e00\u5e74\u540e\u91cd\u65b0\u8c03\u6574\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u628a\u5229\u6da6\u548c\u672c\u91d1\u91cd\u65b0\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>3. \u5728\u5723\u8bde\u548c\u65b0\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5bf9\u6765\u5e74\u66f4\u4e50\u89c2\uff0c\u66f4\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u79ef\u6781\u5165\u573a\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>5. \u5e74\u5e95\u7684\u5956\u91d1\u548c\u8282\u65e5\u793c\u7269\u4e3a\u4eba\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>6. \u4e00\u65e6\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u88ab\u5e7f\u4e3a\u4eba\u77e5\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u613f\u610f\u76f8\u4fe1\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u5728\u8fd9\u671f\u95f4\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5-santa-claus-rally-\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5bf9\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u8981\uff1f\"><strong>\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5 Santa Claus Rally \u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5bf9\u7f8e\u80a1\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u91cd\u8981\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u4e5f\u88ab\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u6765\u5e74\u8868\u73b0\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u3002\u63d0\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u5b66\u8005\uff0c\u8d6b\u5e0c\u5c31\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u5982\u679c\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u672a\u62dc\u8bbf\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u4e34\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u822c\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u4e0b\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5c31\u4f1a\u6709\u6bd4\u8f83\u597d\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c2\u7167\u4e0b\u8868\uff0c\u770b\u770b\u8fd97\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u662f\u5426\u6709\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><strong>\u5e74\u4efd<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5e74\u80a1\u5e02\u8868\u73b0<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2016\u5e74<\/td><td>0.40%<\/td><td>19.40%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2017\u5e74<\/td><td>1.10%<\/td><td>-6.20%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2018\u5e74<\/td><td>1.30%<\/td><td>28.90%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2019\u5e74<\/td><td>0.30%<\/td><td>16.30%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2020\u5e74<\/td><td>1.00%<\/td><td>26.90%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2021\u5e74<\/td><td>1.40%<\/td><td>-18.30%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>2022\u5e74<\/td><td>0.80%<\/td><td>23.41%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>2018 \u5e74\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u5728 12 \u6708 24 \u65e5\uff08\u8be5\u6708\u6700\u540e4\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\uff09\u4e4b\u540e\u4e0a\u6da8 6.6%\u3002 \u5c3d\u7ba1\uff0c\u5b83\u57282019\u5e741\u67083\u65e5\uff08\u65b0\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5929\uff09\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f4612\u670824\u65e5\u5374\u88ab\u8bc1\u660e\u5df2\u7ecf\u89e6\u5e95\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u57282008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76d8\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u7247\u718a\u5e02\u4e2d\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u8fce\u6765\u4e86\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u3002 \u5728\u8fd9 7 \u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86 7.5%\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u4e4b\u540e\u53c8\u518d\u6b21\u89e6\u5e95\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>2008\u5e74\u548c2018\u5e74\uff0c\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u90fd\u6210\u529f\u9884\u6d4b\u4e86\u6765\u5e74\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u3002 2009\u5e74\uff0c\u5927\u76d8\u6307\u6570\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e8623%\uff1b 2019\u5e74\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86\u8d8a29%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u4e0d\u662f\u7edd\u5bf9\u7684\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5177\u6709\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u603b\u662f\u51c6\u786e\u9884\u6d4b\u660e\u5e74\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a2021\u5e74\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u65707\u5929\u4e0a\u6da81.4%\uff0c\u4f46\u5e02\u573a\u57281\u67083\u65e5\u89c1\u9876\uff0c6\u6708\u8fdb\u5165\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5927\u5e45\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u8dcc\u5e45\u5927\u7ea6 20%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5723\u8bde\u8001\u4eba\u884c\u60c5\u8fd8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6bd4\u8f83\u51c6\u786e\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u6d4b\u6307\u6807\u3002\u4ece1950\u5e74\u52302022\u5e74\uff0c\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u5728\u8fd9\u4e03\u5929\u671f\u95f4\u5e73\u5747<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stocktradersalmanac.com\/Alert\/20220104.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" 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